Sunday, May 25, 2008

Puppy Coming

The rumour is the HMs will get a seeing eye dog tomorrow for this week's task.

The BB01 House got a pet puppy in the early days but it got too stressed out and had to be taken back to its owner for its own well-being. (If a dog stresses out in the House and it doesn't know it is being broadcast on nation TV and the internet, imagine how much the HMs must stress out.)

In tonight's ads Jackie O says the HMs will be put out in the dog house. Is that just an attempt at turning the event into a clever pun, or will there be some twist? Maybe a HM has to live in the kennel and the dog is treated as a HM? Will there be an actual dog, or will it be a dog-related task? Last year as part of the Lucky Numbers task two HMs had to live as the House dog, sleeping on a blanket. Is this a similar concept?

Will one of the evicted HMs get to choose the HM to live in "the dog house" as the next Hand Grenade?

Sleazy Nathan & Creepy David Gone

I couldn't have picked 2 better evictees.

Nathan's eviction will let Renee get back to being Renee and not this nervous girl we've been watching getting embarassed about Nathan's sleazy advances.

David was just a creepy guy from Day 1. Even watching his "time in the House" package on the Eviction show tonight I thought they had put a still image in the little super-imposed box in the corner of the screen. He had his creepy David expression on throughout the whole thing.

BB Springs a Double

Without any prior notice, the OS announces tonight will be the first Double Eviction.

With so many HMs, Intruders almost certain since some profiles have been leaked, and only 8 weeks to go, it is no surprise that BB is starting to cull the flock. But why no announcement until today? Is it a ratings grab? Does BB think he knows who will be nominated and evicted?

And is the new Eviction format really ready for a Double? There are already complaints about the interviews being too short. Hopefully they will further streamline the format tonight to get the evictees out sooner.

Brigitte & Travis "Make Up"

After Brigitte and Travis constantly asking other HMs to explain things further to them, they decided today the two should compete in a quiz to see who really knows more. Each HM got to choose a topic to quiz them on. The prize was the opportunity to do the other's make up for tonight's Eviction show.

With a margin of just 1 point from a bonus question, Brigitte proved she was not the dumbest in the House, and is now preparing Travis' face caked in "drag queen" make up for his appearance in front of Kyle and Jackie O, and a million viewers at home.

When asked if "we're good friends now", Brigitte told Travis, "We're just normal friends."

Eviction #3: Who Will Go

Last week I failed miserably in predicting the outcome of the eviction, as I think most people would with the new format. But I'll give it another crack this week anyway. I won't bother guessing who will go, because it is impossible to tell at this stage who will even be nominated, but I'll put down my thoughts on some possibilities and probabilities. Then I'll put in order who I think is safest from HM votes to who is in most danger. The when the nominees are announced, my prediction will be based on who is in most danger out of the 3 from this list.

So, this week Alice has the Eviction Powers from winning FNL. After last week I fear using my Eviction Twist Hypothesis, as it certainly failed me last time, but we should assume that the voting audience has given up voting for Alice, as she has the power to save herself, meaning she would end up in the bottom 3. (Of course there is no accounting for the logic of a 14 year old girl with a prepaid mobile, so the majority of voters may not have worked out this subtlty.)

The last we heard, Alice, Bianca, Dixie, Nathan and Terri were the bottom 5. At the end of FNL, the bottom 3 were announced as: Bianca, David, and Nathan (so the votes had changed already!).

We can probably assume that House favourites, if nominated, will end up getting few HM votes and end up safe, so that saves the likes of Nobbi, Rory, and Renee. Easy targets for the HMs would be Terri and Dixie. After her week of crying, I wouldn't hold too much hope for Brigitte if she ends up in the bottom 3-- Rory, Nobbi, Bianca, etc would see she was swiftly evicted. Ben took a lot of votes last week, but had stiff competition.

So my safe list is:

SAFEST
Alice (assumed not nominated due to twist)
Nobbi
Rory
Renee
Bianca
Travis
Ben
David
Nathan
Dixie
Terri
Brigitte
LEAST SAFE

Let's see how well this method goes!

Ratings Down

Apart from the second Eviction show, which made changes after viewers complaints about the format of the first week, BB has failed to reach the 1m viewer mark throughout the week.

The total number of viewers being down on last year isn't that much of a problem because every year experiences fewer total TV watchers, as internet and DVD take over the market.

But the percentage of viewers in ten's target demographic of 18-49 year olds (or more specifically 16-39s), is also a worry this year. BB is getting just over 30% of the viewers in the target audience.

New program Big Mouth is scoring just over 600,000 viewers, but a smaller audience is probably what that show needs given its adult content which could be in danger of being banned again if kids started tuning in.

FNL is still doing well with over 900,000 on a Friday night.

Even the second installment of Carson Crashes didn't live up part 1, which saw the highest viewership since the Launch Night. This week it was on against the State of Origin match.

The question has to be, why doesn't ten move the Daily Shows to 7:30pm? Most of ten's target audience are over watching Home & Away at 7:00. Seven and Nine generally start their programming for older audiences at 7:30, which would be the perfect time for ten to snatch most of the kids. If ten is sticking with its timeslot of 7:00 just to try and combat H&A, it is very noble, but stupid.

The Neighbours lead-in is also detracting from BB's audience as Neighbours's audience weakens.

We can't blame Gretel's absence because she was never around for the Daily Shows. Maybe the removal of Live Nominations (which always rated surprisingly well) has had an effect. Or maybe the lack of a live streaming component like UpLate has alienated viewers who now only get to see edited down teenage-oriented storylines via the DS.

Regardless of this, BB is still a cheap show to produce, and once sponsors are locked in for a season, ESS has made the money they need. The only effect the low ratings will have on BB is its chances on getting picked up for a 9th season, or the amount of advertising revenue they will make if the 9th season goes ahead.